c o m p l e t e d   p r o j e c t s


  • Created and developed an interactive health care cost modeling system using Active Server Pages (ASP) that is designed for use on the Web.

  • Developed and applied a model of smoking-attributable medical care costs for several state attorneys general lawsuits.

  • Organized, validated, and analyzed Medicaid claims databases consisting of hundreds of millions of records.

  • Developed a comprehensive economic model of the health care industry, emphasizing the role of HMOs under managed competition.

  • Developed a state-of-the-art risk assessment model comparing Blue Cross/Blue Shield to large HMO in the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program.

  • Developed a demand-based model for allocating over 2000 physicians and other professionals among 22 hospitals and clinics.

  • Estimated $500 million per year savings to the Medicare program due to the competitive effect of HMOs on other providers.

  • Estimated a discrete-choice demand function for indemnity versus HMO plans.

  • Developed survival and transition probability models for estimating the probability of nursing home entry, stay duration, and death.

  • Developed a method for identifying small urban areas with inadequate supply of primary medical care services.